Paul-Plu

Co-designing ways to prevent unplanned Kidney dialysis for patient under universal health care in Thailand

Year

2025

Role

Lead Service Designer

Design at

Thailand Development Research Institute

Design For

National Health Security Office

ckd2425

5

co-design workshops

80

+ stakeholders involved

8

million people affected

Brief & Challenge

First Transition Design in Thailand


This project represents the first application of Transition Design to reimagine public health services at a national policy level in Thailand. It addresses the urgent challenge of unplanned dialysis among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), a persistent problem that requires systemic transformation rather than incremental fixes.

"The project kickstarted from a network of Thai students in the UK who work in policy and were interested in design methods from seeing my work at RCA."

This cross-pollination between design practice and policy expertise created the foundation for what would become a pioneering initiative, bringing Transition Design approaches into Thai healthcare policy for the first time. The project is funded by  the National Health Security Office (NHSO), Thailand's primary healthcare financing authority, to tackle the unplanned dialysis crisis. The scale of the problem demanded nothing less than systemic reimagination: Thailand's CKD prevalence stands at 17.6%, nearly double the global average, and unplanned dialysis rates had surged to 60.5% following rapid policy changes in 2022, contributing to approximately 5,500 excess deaths within two years.

Introducing new approach in policy making and public service design

Introducing Transition Design methodology into Thai policy-making presented significant challenges. Thai policy is highly quantitative, favouring established metrics and proven interventions. Gaining approval and buy-in from senior decision-makers, those with the authority to enable or block systemic change, became as crucial as the design work itself.

Building credibility for this new approach required extensive groundwork: comprehensive literature reviews establishing the theoretical foundations, case examples from other countries demonstrating successful systems-level health interventions, and dedicated training sessions to help stakeholders understand and engage with design methods. This preparatory work was essential to bridge the gap between traditional policy-making and design-led transformation.

Design Outcome

Deep dive into Root Causes


We then conducted Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) and Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) synthesis, integrating insights from both ethnographic data and literature review. This multi-method approach allowed us to move beyond surface symptoms to understand the reinforcing dynamics and deeper structures driving the crisis.

The CLD revealed feedback loops, such as how late diagnosis leads to crisis-driven care, which perpetuates patient distrust, which further delays engagement with formal healthcare. The CLA unpacked four layers: the visible problem (unplanned dialysis rates), systemic causes (fragmented care pathways, policy incentives), worldviews (cultural beliefs about medicine and hope), and metaphors shaping how the system understands kidney disease.

Co-Design Workshops: From Sensemaking to Action

We conducted 6 co-design workshops, moving stakeholders through three critical phases: collective sensemaking, ideation, and implementation planning. These sessions didn't just generate ideas, they created legitimate demand articulation for policy change and innovation in public services. When patients, clinicians, and administrators collectively identify needs and co-create solutions, it builds political mandate that traditional top-down policy-making cannot achieve.

We Can't Go Where We Want If We Don't Know Where to Go

From the co-design workshops, I created a future vision by harvesting aspirations from participants and integrating them with the Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) framework from Transition Design. This resulted in a multilevel vision that operates across three horizons, mapping not just the desired future, but crucially, what blocks us from reaching it and what enables us to get there.

The MLP lens allowed us to see how change needs to occur simultaneously at multiple levels: niche innovations (new practices and tools), regime shifts (institutional structures and professional norms), and landscape transformations (cultural beliefs and policy environments). By articulating visions at each level, we could identify specific barriers, from outdated reimbursement structures to deeply held beliefs about hope and medicine, and the corresponding enablers needed to overcome them.

This multilevel vision became a roadmap: showing stakeholders not just an idealised future, but a grounded pathway that acknowledges current constraints whilst identifying concrete leverage points for systemic change.

Exploring Ways to Change

With the multilevel vision established, we needed a rigorous mechanism to translate aspirations into actionable interventions. We employed Theory of Change methodology, beginning with the development of hypothesis stacks, explicit assumptions about how change occurs in complex systems.

Rather than jumping directly to solutions, we first articulated the causal logic: if [condition], then [outcome], because [mechanism]. This approach forced us to make our assumptions testable and transparent. Each hypothesis identified a specific leverage point in the system, from enabling hope within standard care to distributing decision-making across time and space, and specified the change pathway we believed would create impact.

These hypotheses became the foundation for intervention design, ensuring that every solution we developed was grounded in an explicit theory about how the CKD care system could transform. By making our logic visible, we created accountability: these weren't just good ideas, but falsifiable propositions that could be tested, refined, or abandoned based on evidence.

The project is now moving into solution development; co-creating an ecology of interventions designed to work together rather than in isolation.

What's next

The project is now moving into its delivery phase, producing a suite of interconnected outputs designed to translate research and co-design into actionable change:

Portfolio of Solutions

An ecology of 11 interventions designed to work together rather than in isolation; from digital family platforms to peer mentor programmes to prevention accountability systems, each grounded in our hypothesis stack and validated through stakeholder engagement.

Roadmap Through Three Horizons

A strategic implementation pathway mapping solutions across short-term (Horizon 1), transitional (Horizon 2), and transformative (Horizon 3) timeframes, showing dependencies, enabling conditions, and sequencing for systemic change.

Ethnographic Film

A visual narrative translating complex research insights into accessible storytelling, designed to reach policymakers and practitioners who may not engage with written reports, humanising the data and building emotional investment in change.

Policy Blueprint

Detailed guidance on execution mechanisms: what legislative changes are needed, which agencies must coordinate, what funding structures should shift, and how accountability can be embedded, bridging the gap between vision and implementation.

Future State Service Journey

A reimagined patient experience map showing what CKD care looks like when these interventions are in place; from diagnosis through treatment decisions, making the vision concrete and tangible for stakeholders.

Demand Articulation Report

Quantitative and qualitative evidence from the Kano questionnaire and validation workshops demonstrating stakeholder priorities, feature categorisation (must-be, performance, delighters), and the legitimate demand base for proposed changes.

Policy Recommendation Report

Consolidated recommendations for NHSO and Ministry of Public Health, synthesising all project learnings into actionable policy directions with clear rationale, evidence base, and implementation considerations.

Reflection

As we've progressed through this project, several unexpected realisations have emerged, some challenging assumptions I held about co-design in hierarchical cultures, others affirming the power of well-crafted participatory processes.

Breaking Through Cultural Reserve

Perhaps the most surprising discovery has been how genuinely fun and enriching the process has become. Thai culture is typically reserved; people don't readily offer critical commentary or challenge established norms, making co-design workshops notoriously difficult to facilitate.

With carefully designed toolkits and activities, we managed to create spaces where patients spoke up even in the presence of doctors, a profession held in extraordinarily high regard in Thailand.

This wasn't about diminishing professional authority, but rather creating legitimate channels for diverse voices to contribute expertise. Patients became experts in lived experience; families articulated care coordination needs; doctors recognised systemic constraints they couldn't solve alone. The right scaffolding proved that co-design can work exceptionally well in hierarchical cultures, perhaps even more powerfully than in individualistic ones, if the process honours existing social dynamics whilst creating permission structures for authentic dialogue.

Institutional Validation

The project has gained significant institutional endorsement, with opportunities to present to the Board of Kidney Disease. This visibility has drawn considerable attention not just to the CKD care challenge, but to Transition Design methodology itself, demonstrating that rigorous, participatory design approaches can earn credibility within highly technical, policy-driven environments.

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